Aloha
Thursday, November 25th, 2004UNC finished off BYU, TN, and Iowa to win the Maui Classic Wednesday by a long shot. No opponent came close to making the games interesting. Even the trio of ESPN commentators was blownaway by the Heels stating they couldn’t think of a way to improve this team.
Well, well!! That sure is flattering but let’s look at a couple of stats that ought to bring everyone down to earth. TN and IA scored 0.88 and 1.06 points per possession (respectively). They turned the ball over on 23% and 25% of their possessions. Therefore, the Heels are forcing turnovers quite well, but they are not defending shots well enough. This is partially explained by the complete commitment to man-to-man defense. A passive 2-3 zone would force few turnovers and worse shots.
Clearly UNC’s weakness is interior defense. Of course UNC will have trouble with hot-3pt-shooting teams, but the way to beat UNC is to get the ball inside and draw fouls on the Williams and May.
Jay Bilas and Bill Raftery both commented several times about the blistering pace at which UNC was playing. This is true. There were more than 180 possessions in each of the Hawaii games. Typical conference games hover in the 150’s. However, UNC always starts the season at break-neck speed. Once opponents practice and improve conditioning, they will get back on defense better to force UNC into more half-court situations.
Carolina’s second problem that shows is the trailing defensive intensity in the second half. I won’t worry about this until Carolina is going into the locker room at the half up by a handful of points.
Next up is a #54 USC team that has only played one game. (Iowa is #53). Their website refers to us as “Tobacco Road”. Therefore I want to destroy them by 90 points.